Join Now  | 
Home About Contact Us Privacy & Security Advertise
Soccer America Daily Soccer World Daily Special Edition Around The Net Soccer Business Insider College Soccer Reporter Youth Soccer Reporter Soccer on TV Soccer America Classifieds Game Report
Paul Gardner: SoccerTalk Soccer America Confidential Youth Soccer Insider World Cup Watch
RSS Feeds Archives Manage Subscriptions Subscribe
Order Current Issue Subscribe Manage My Subscription Renew My Subscription Gift Subscription
My Account Join Now
Tournament Calendar Camps & Academies Soccer Glossary Classifieds
USA's best-case and worst-case scenarios ...
by Paul Kennedy, September 9th, 2009 6:45AM
Subscribe to Soccer America Daily

MOST READ

MOST COMMENTED

[WORLD CUP QUALIFYING]The Hexagonal race is so tight that for the first time since Concacaf formed the six-team final group to determine its three World Cup finalists in 1997 no team will clinch a berth in the finals before Day 9. For a look at the scenarios involving the USA ...

The USA cannot clinch a berth in the World Cup 2010 finals on Wednesday but it can clinch no worse than fourth place and an eventual berth in the Concacaf-South America playoff in November ...

-- If the USA beats Trinidad & Tobago;
-- If the USA ties Trinidad & Tobago and El Salvador doesn't beat Costa Rica.

BEST-CASE SCENARIO:
The USA will control its own fate and be in a position to clinch one of the three automatic berths if it beats Trinidad & Tobago. The USA will only need to beat Costa Rica on Oct. 14 -- the results of all other games will not matter.

(A U.S. win at Trinidad & Tobago and Costa Rica loss at El Salvador will mean a USA-Costa Rica tie will suffice; a U.S. win at Trinidad & Tobago and El Salvador-Costa Rica tie will mean that a a USA-Costa Rica tie will probably suffice because the USA has a better goal differential than the Ticos: plus-4 to minus-3 at the moment.)

WORST-CASE SCENARIO:
If the USA doesn't win but Costa Rica wins on Wednesday, the USA will need more than a victory over the Ticos on Oct. 14 to clinch one of the top three spots.

(The USA might need, as an example, a win or tie at Honduras on Oct. 14 or for Costa Rica not to beat Trinidad & Tobago the same day. Or for Mexico or Honduras to drop points in their other remaining games.)

There are scenarios by which the USA will clinch one of the top three spots on Oct. 10 (although there are no scenarios by which it will be out of contention for one of those spots after Day 9):

-- If the USA gains three or more points than Costa Rica or Mexico does from their next two games; or
-- If the USA gains four or more points than Honduras does from their next two games.

Standings
TEAM GP W T L GF GA P
Honduras 7 4 1 2 14 7 13
USA 7 4 1 2 13 9 13
Mexico 7 4 0 3 11 9 12
-----------------------------
Costa Rica 7 4 0 3 9 12 12
-----------------------------
El Salvador 7 1 2 4 7 10 5
Trin. & Tobago 7 1 2 4 8 15 5
(The top three teams advance to World Cup 2010; the fourth-place team faces the fifth-place team from South America in a playoff.)
Schedule
September 9
Trinidad & Tobago v USA (ESPN Classic, Telefutura, live, 6:30 pm ET)
Mexico v Honduras(Telemundo, live, 9 pm ET)
El Salvador v Costa Rica
October 10
Honduras-USA
Mexico-El Salvador
Costa Rica-Trin. & Tobago
October 14
El Salvador-Honduras
Trin. & Tobago-Mexico
USA-Costa Rica

 



No comments yet.

Sign in to leave a comment. Don't have an account? Join Now




AUTHORS

ARCHIVES
FOLLOW SOCCERAMERICA

Recent Soccer America Daily
U.S. women are off to Brazil -- opener next Wednesday    
The U.S. women's national team was off to Brazil Wednesday night to prepare for its quest ...
MLS Homegrowns lose to Mexico's U-20s    
In an appetizer to the MLS all-stars' game against Arsenal, a squad of MLS U-23 Homegrown ...
U.S. Abroad: Five Americans start in Tijuana Copa MX loss    
Tijuana started five Americans in its 4-0 loss to second division Lobos BUAP in Mexico's midweek ...
MLS Moves: Jones jumps ranks at Philadelphia    
Derrick Jones, the first player to sign with the Bethlehem Steel FC, became the first player ...
MLS All-Star Game: Soaking up the experience    
A guy like Sacha Kljestan, an 11-year pro and veteran of the UEFA Champions League with ...
Video Pick: Trick PK goes wrong in Peru    
Last February, Lionel Messi passed a penalty kick to Luis Suarez, who stroked home to complete ...
What They're Saying: Landon Donovan    
"There's a reason you see the passion in this area: Soccer's in their blood now. It ...
MLS All-Star Game: Acosta and Van Damme added    
Kellyn Acosta (FC Dallas) and Jelle Van Damme (LA Galaxy) were added to the MLS All-Stars' ...
What They're Saying: Brad Evans    
"I owe a ton to Sigi, my 1st and only MLS coach. 10 yrs & over ...
What They're Saying: Herculez Gomez    
"Sigi achieved more in 7 yrs than most MLS clubs have in their history... and he ...
>> Soccer America Daily Archives