Join Now | 
HomeAboutContact UsPrivacy & SecurityAdvertise
Soccer America DailySoccer World DailySpecial EditionAround The NetSoccer Business InsiderCollege Soccer ReporterYouth Soccer ReporterSoccer on TVSoccer America ClassifiedsGame Report
Paul Gardner: SoccerTalkSoccer America ConfidentialYouth Soccer InsiderWorld Cup Watch
RSS FeedsArchivesManage SubscriptionsSubscribe
Order Current IssueSubscribeManage My SubscriptionRenew My SubscriptionGift Subscription
My AccountJoin Now
Tournament CalendarCamps & AcademiesSoccer GlossaryClassifieds
USA's best-case and worst-case scenarios ...
by Paul Kennedy, September 9th, 2009 6:45AM

MOST READ

MOST COMMENTED

[WORLD CUP QUALIFYING] The Hexagonal race is so tight that for the first time since Concacaf formed the six-team final group to determine its three World Cup finalists in 1997 no team will clinch a berth in the finals before Day 9. For a look at the scenarios involving the USA ...

The USA cannot clinch a berth in the World Cup 2010 finals on Wednesday but it can clinch no worse than fourth place and an eventual berth in the Concacaf-South America playoff in November ...

-- If the USA beats Trinidad & Tobago;
-- If the USA ties Trinidad & Tobago and El Salvador doesn't beat Costa Rica.

BEST-CASE SCENARIO:
The USA will control its own fate and be in a position to clinch one of the three automatic berths if it beats Trinidad & Tobago. The USA will only need to beat Costa Rica on Oct. 14 -- the results of all other games will not matter.

(A U.S. win at Trinidad & Tobago and Costa Rica loss at El Salvador will mean a USA-Costa Rica tie will suffice; a U.S. win at Trinidad & Tobago and El Salvador-Costa Rica tie will mean that a a USA-Costa Rica tie will probably suffice because the USA has a better goal differential than the Ticos: plus-4 to minus-3 at the moment.)

WORST-CASE SCENARIO:
If the USA doesn't win but Costa Rica wins on Wednesday, the USA will need more than a victory over the Ticos on Oct. 14 to clinch one of the top three spots.

(The USA might need, as an example, a win or tie at Honduras on Oct. 14 or for Costa Rica not to beat Trinidad & Tobago the same day. Or for Mexico or Honduras to drop points in their other remaining games.)

There are scenarios by which the USA will clinch one of the top three spots on Oct. 10 (although there are no scenarios by which it will be out of contention for one of those spots after Day 9):

-- If the USA gains three or more points than Costa Rica or Mexico does from their next two games; or
-- If the USA gains four or more points than Honduras does from their next two games.

Standings
TEAM GP W T L GF GA P
Honduras 7 4 1 2 14 7 13
USA 7 4 1 2 13 9 13
Mexico 7 4 0 3 11 9 12
-----------------------------
Costa Rica 7 4 0 3 9 12 12
-----------------------------
El Salvador 7 1 2 4 7 10 5
Trin. & Tobago 7 1 2 4 8 15 5
(The top three teams advance to World Cup 2010; the fourth-place team faces the fifth-place team from South America in a playoff.)
Schedule
September 9
Trinidad & Tobago v USA (ESPN Classic, Telefutura, live, 6:30 pm ET)
Mexico v Honduras (Telemundo, live, 9 pm ET)
El Salvador v Costa Rica
October 10
Honduras-USA
Mexico-El Salvador
Costa Rica-Trin. & Tobago
October 14
El Salvador-Honduras
Trin. & Tobago-Mexico
USA-Costa Rica

 



No comments yet.

Sign in to leave a comment. Don't have an account? Join Now




AUTHORS

ARCHIVES
FOLLOW SOCCERAMERICA

Recent Soccer America Daily
What They're Saying: Luis Figo    
"I have seen with my own eyes federation presidents who, after one day comparing FIFA leaders ...
NWSL Roundup: Reign has plenty to counter China    
Seattle Reign FC has another bye week in the NWSL, but it will use it to ...
Making a List: Top 15 U.S. EPL TV markets    
NBCUniversal, which concludes its second year of English Premier League coverage with "Championship Sunday" at 9 ...
ICYMI | MLS: Wondo takes century chase to big stage    
A fast start to the 2015 season has Chris Wondolowski one goal away from reaching the ...
MLS this weekend ...    
A 42-day stint on the road will take FC Dallas to both coasts and several points ...
Open Cup: Cosmos-NYCFC? Jersey gets a say first    
U.S. Soccer conducted the draw for the the fourth round, where the 17 MLS entrants will ...
Twenty for Canada 2015: England's Lianne Sanderson    
With the international retirement of Kelly Smith, her Arsenal Ladies teammate, Lianne Sanderson could be the ...
Twenty for Canada 2015: Nigeria's Asisat Oshoala    
Asisat Oshoala is being tipped as the greatest young female player to ever come out of ...
Open Cup: Five amateur teams pull upsets    
Five amateur teams -- the PDL's Jersey Express and Ventura County Fusion, USASA's PSA Elite and ...
ICYMI | MLS: Time to end Jermaine Jones experiment?    
The New England Revolution's nine-game unbeaten streak ended when it imploded at Sporting Kansas City, losing, ...
>> Soccer America Daily Archives