Join Now | 
HomeAboutContact UsPrivacy & SecurityAdvertise
Soccer America DailySpecial EditionAround The NetSoccer Business InsiderCollege Soccer ReporterYouth Soccer ReporterSoccer on TVSoccer America Classifieds
Paul Gardner: SoccerTalkSoccer America ConfidentialYouth Soccer InsiderWorld Cup Watch
RSS FeedsArchivesManage SubscriptionsSubscribe
Order Current IssueSubscribeManage My SubscriptionRenew My SubscriptionGift Subscription
My AccountJoin Now
Tournament CalendarCamps & AcademiesSoccer GlossaryClassifieds
Stats wiz turns to soccer
by Paul Kennedy, November 12th, 2009 7AM

MOST READ

MOST COMMENTED

[MAKING A LIST] Nate Silver, mostly recently celebrated for his political analysis and use of statistics to predict the outcome of the 2008 presidential election, has turned to soccer, compiling international rankings that place in the USA 14th in the world.

The Soccer Power Index, published by espn.com, ranks the USA No. 14 in the world in the most recent index.

Silver, an acknowledged soccer fan, admits there is a challenge compiling soccer ratings. "If a particular international team is not engaged in a major competition, such as the World Cup, it may play only a handful of meaningful matches each year," he says. "Compare that to a 162-game season in baseball, an 82-game season in basketball, or a 16-game season in American football. Many of these games, moreover, may be against teams of inferior quality, or may feature marginal lineups as many of a team's star players are engaged in club competition instead."

Silver, who first made a name for himself with his statistical analysis of baseball, says his ratings distinguish themselves from the FIFA rankings in that they take into account such things as margin of victory and home-field advantage. They also calculate the strength of the players in the team.

"If you had to bet your life on a soccer match, you would use SPI and not FIFA," Silver told the Wall Street Journal's Daily Fix.

SBI Index
1. Brazil
2. Spain
3. England
4. Netherlands
5. Argentina
6. Germany
7. Portugal
8. Chile
9. France
10. Uruguay
11. Ivory Coast
12. Italy
13. Russia
14. United States
15. Serbia

 



No comments yet.

Sign in to leave a comment. Don't have an account? Join Now




AUTHORS

ARCHIVES
FOLLOW SOCCERAMERICA

Recent Soccer America Daily
Video Pick: The Bundesliga's Top 5 golazos     
The German Bundesliga's 23rd game day lived up to the league's reputation as the Europe's highest ...
Region IV teams sweep ODP titles again     
For the second straight year, Region IV teams won all four ODP Championships. Cal South took ...
What They're Saying: Sinisa Mihajlovic    
"Let's be clear. I didn't take his neck, I took his shirt, pushed his chest and ...
Johnson hits Gladbach winner; no stopping Tijuana    
Fabian Johnson scored his first goal since moving to third-place Borussia Moenchengladbach in its 2-0 victory ...
2015 MLS Preseason Action    
Preseason play wrapped up Saturday with the Houston Dynamo (Carolina Challenge Cup), New York Red Bulls ...
MLS: Projected opening day lineups    
MLS is slated to start its 20th season on Friday when the defending champion LA Galaxy ...
Gallardo shines as U.S. U-17s rout Cuba     
Joe Gallardo, who suffered a broken shinbone last August, scored a hat trick as the USA ...
Garber: 'Nobody's looking for a work stoppage'    
Speaking at the MIT Sloan Sports Analytics Conference in Boston on Friday, MLS commissioner Don Garber ...
What They're Saying: Univision's Juan Carlos Rodriguez    
"If the rights are already fixed, there's little incentive to FIFA to award 2026 to the ...
2015 MLS Preseason Action    
The MLS preseason wraps up on Saturday with 18 of 20 teams in action, all but ...
>> Soccer America Daily Archives