Join Now | 
HomeAboutContact UsPrivacy & SecurityAdvertise
Soccer America DailySpecial EditionAround The NetSoccer Business InsiderCollege Soccer ReporterYouth Soccer ReporterSoccer on TVSoccer America Classifieds
Paul Gardner: SoccerTalkSoccer America ConfidentialYouth Soccer InsiderWorld Cup Watch
RSS FeedsArchivesManage SubscriptionsSubscribe
Order Current IssueSubscribeManage My SubscriptionRenew My SubscriptionGift Subscription
My AccountJoin Now
Tournament CalendarCamps & AcademiesSoccer GlossaryClassifieds
World Cup Data, Models Heavily Favor Brazil Victory
AFP, May 30th, 2014 12:48PM

MOST READ
TAGS:  world cup 2014

MOST COMMENTED

If World Cup predictions are anything to go by, then it seems as if host country Brazil has already won this one. In a report on World Cup predictions using data and modeling, the AFP notes that investment banks, physicists, and bookmakers are all bullish on Brazil bringing the world’s biggest sporting prize home this summer.

In a research report, Goldman Sachs claimed: "The most striking aspect of our model is how heavily it favors Brazil to win the World Cup.” The bank’s study relied on six parameters to determine Brazil’s ease of victory, including the Elo ranking of individual country's football success, goals scored and conceded in recent matches, past World Cup results and the advantage of the tournament venue. Goldman also said that Germany and Spain would be the losing semi-finalists.

Meanwhile, Italian bank Unicredit predicted South American domination with Uruguay also reaching the semi-finals and only Germany from Europe. It used FIFA's world ranking, home country and continent advantage, number of years as a FIFA member, the number of appearances in semi-finals of the under 17 and under 20 world championships and results from the last World Cup. "The data say it all," proclaimed the bank, which highlighted Brazil's heat and humidity, better record and home advantage.

Even renowned physicist Stephen Hawking says, "You would be a fool to overlook Brazil."

Host nations have reached the semifinals in 12 of the past 19 World Cups. They have won six.

Read the original story...


1 comment
  1. Rick Estupinan
    commented on: May 31, 2014 at 2:53 p.m.
    My prediction is Brazil will not World Champions this time , it will be Germany .


Sign in to leave a comment. Don't have an account? Join Now




AUTHORS

ARCHIVES
FOLLOW SOCCERAMERICA

Recent Section 2 Around the Net
Scolari Gets a Job    
Luiz Felipe Scolari, who resigned as Brazil coach after its disastrous 2014 World Cup campaign, has ...
World Cup Runner-up Coach Steps Down    
Alejandro Sabella, who guided Argentina to the World Cup final in Brazil, has decided to quit ...
Ronaldinho on the Move    
Former World Player of the Year Ronaldinho has left Atletico Mineiro. The 34-year-old former Barcelona, AC ...
Beer Approved in the Big House    
Normally, alcohol sale and consumption is strictly forbidden inside the University of Michigan's stadium, but beer ...
Sturridge Wishes Suarez Well    
Daniel Sturridge says he'll need some help from his teammates if the departure of the Uruguayan ...
Liverpool Signs Belgian Teen Star Striker    
Liverpool has signed of 19-year-old Belgium striker Divock Origi, whose goal against Russia sent the Red ...
Tevez's Kidnapped Father Released    
Juan Alberto Cabral, the father of Juventus' Argentine striker Carlos Tevez, was kidnapped and released eight ...
Atletico Madrid Signs Young French Star    
Spanish La Liga champion Atletico Madrid has acquired 23-year-old French World Cup winger Antoine Griezmann from ...
Cuauhtemoc Blanco Makes Comeback at 41    
Former Mexico striker Cuauhtemoc Blanco has returned to the top flight of Mexican soccer at the ...
Jack Wilshere Regrets Having a Smoke    
What happens in Vegas doesn't always stay in Vegas. Arsenal midfielder Jack Wilshere was caught on ...
>> Section 2 Around the Net Archives