Join Now | 
HomeAboutContact UsPrivacy & SecurityAdvertise
Soccer America DailySpecial EditionAround The NetSoccer Business InsiderCollege Soccer ReporterYouth Soccer ReporterSoccer on TVSoccer America Classifieds
Paul Gardner: SoccerTalkSoccer America ConfidentialYouth Soccer InsiderWorld Cup Watch
RSS FeedsArchivesManage SubscriptionsSubscribe
Order Current IssueSubscribeManage My SubscriptionRenew My SubscriptionGift Subscription
My AccountJoin Now
Tournament CalendarCamps & AcademiesSoccer GlossaryClassifieds
World Cup Data, Models Heavily Favor Brazil Victory
AFP, May 30th, 2014 12:48PM

MOST READ
TAGS:  world cup 2014

MOST COMMENTED

If World Cup predictions are anything to go by, then it seems as if host country Brazil has already won this one. In a report on World Cup predictions using data and modeling, the AFP notes that investment banks, physicists, and bookmakers are all bullish on Brazil bringing the world’s biggest sporting prize home this summer.

In a research report, Goldman Sachs claimed: "The most striking aspect of our model is how heavily it favors Brazil to win the World Cup.” The bank’s study relied on six parameters to determine Brazil’s ease of victory, including the Elo ranking of individual country's football success, goals scored and conceded in recent matches, past World Cup results and the advantage of the tournament venue. Goldman also said that Germany and Spain would be the losing semi-finalists.

Meanwhile, Italian bank Unicredit predicted South American domination with Uruguay also reaching the semi-finals and only Germany from Europe. It used FIFA's world ranking, home country and continent advantage, number of years as a FIFA member, the number of appearances in semi-finals of the under 17 and under 20 world championships and results from the last World Cup. "The data say it all," proclaimed the bank, which highlighted Brazil's heat and humidity, better record and home advantage.

Even renowned physicist Stephen Hawking says, "You would be a fool to overlook Brazil."

Host nations have reached the semifinals in 12 of the past 19 World Cups. They have won six.

Read the original story...


1 comment
  1. Rick Estupinan
    commented on: May 31, 2014 at 2:53 p.m.
    My prediction is Brazil will not World Champions this time , it will be Germany .


Sign in to leave a comment. Don't have an account? Join Now




AUTHORS

ARCHIVES
FOLLOW SOCCERAMERICA

Recent Section 2 Around the Net
Nigerian U-20 star Dike hopes more Cowgirl goals will come    
Goals by Courtney Dike helped Nigeria reach the final of the Under-20 Women's World Cup in ...
Inzaghi: Milan Has Nothing to Lose Against Juve     
AC Milan on Saturday hosts Juventus in an early-season top-of-the-standings clash of Italian heavyweights. While Milan ...
London Wins Semis and Final of Euro 2020    
UEFA on Friday awarded Wembley Stadium in London as the venue for the semifinals and final ...
Prosecutor Calls for End to FIFA's Secrecy     
FIFA prosecutor Michael Garcia on Friday said he wants more details published about corruption cases in ...
Pellegrini Defends Toure, Lampard     
Manchester City coach Manuel Pellegrini defended Yaya Toure's performance against Bayern Munich during City's UEFA Champions ...
Mourinho Was 'Not Expecting' Lampard to Join Man City     
Jose Mourinho says he still has respect for Chelsea legend Frank Lampard even though he could ...
Mourinho: Relationship with Ronaldo 'Does Not Exist'    
Jose Mourinho says he no longer has any relationship with Cristiano Ronaldo now that he has ...
Arrests Mar Roma's UCL Win     
Police arrested three fans prior to AS Roma's UEFA Champions League opener against Russian side CSKA ...
Roma Players Warn City, Bayern Following Rout     
AS Roma's players said they are full of confidence following their 5-1 hammering of CSKA Moscow ...
Di Maria: "I Needed to Change My Life"    
In an interview with Perform, Manchester United forward Angel Di Maria says that he left Real ...
>> Section 2 Around the Net Archives