But there's a chance -- a slim chance to be sure but a chance nonetheless - that New York can revert to its run of sharp form and smart results and give the Dynamo trouble, especially at home on FieldTurf. Two months ago, New York ran off a six-game unbeaten streak that included thumping Houston, 3-0, at the Meadowlands with goals by Angel, Dane Richards and Mike Magee.
But that was then and this is now.
The Red Bulls aren't expected to advance in this series, and all too often too many players have looked tentative, a product of inconsistent play and chronic personnel and formation juggling by master tactician Juan Carlos Osorio. In a two-game series, Osorio can prepare a team to maximum effect. With speedster Richards, Angel, van den Bergh and Magee buzzing about as Jorge Rojas probes for openings, chances can be garnered.
However, downing the Dynamo will require staunch defensive play, which is unlikely given that keeper Danny Cepero has played all of two professional games, defender Jeff Parke is one of the two players suspended, and several of Parke's mates, especially Gilberto Jimenez and Gabriel Cichero, are playing just plain awful.
Getting pasted by Chicago, 5-2, in its final regular-season game ratcheted up New York's ugly defensive record to 18 goals conceded in the last six matches. If Osorio benches Cichero in favor of Andrew Boyens, the New York backline will be bigger (Boyens is 6-foot-5) but really no better. Yet probably nobody else can take on Nate Jaqua (6-foot-4) on more or less equal terms, but that still leaves forward partner Brian Ching, who set a personal best this year with 13 goals.
Houston hasn't lost in league play since that Aug. 24 defeat at the Meadowlands and surely remembers the source and site of that embarrassing defeat. Coach Dominic Kinnear used his reserves Tuesday in El Salvador to garner a 1-1 tie against Luis Angel Firpo in the Concacaf Champions' League and should send out a sharp and rested team.
Before its season-ending streak, Houston occasionally wandered through gloomy spells of spotty finishing. Unless those goblins return the day after Halloween, New York is in for a nightmare.
MLS WESTERN CONFERENCE SEMIFINAL
Game 1 Saturday, 4 p.m. ET (Direct Kick),
NEW YORK (10-11-9, 4th East) vs. HOUSTON (13-5-12, 1st West)