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Doing the math points out Sounders as Shield favorites Forbes.com

One of those who crunches numbers for a living agrees with Seattle fans: the Sounders are the team best poised to capture the Supporters’ Shield. Since they are one point behind the current leader, New York, with two games in hand, this might seem a clear case of, ‘Well, duh!”

Yet Forbes.com contributor Zach Slaton runs through the index scores, simulations, metrics, projected match scores, and other relevant data to grant the Sounders a better than 60 percent chance to win the Supporters’ Shield. New York has a 17 percent chance, Sporting Kansas City 13 percent.

There’s more. The Crew has just a 15 percent chance of making the playoffs. Philly and New England are hovering around 30 percent.

How might the big Sunday showdown between Seattle and New York affect their numbers? What are the likely permutations of Portland's game with the Galaxy on Saturday? The numbers have their say.

Read the whole story at Forbes.com »

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